Trend and determinants of acute inpatient care for the elderly in Italy from 2001 to 2011.

BACKGROUND The population over 64 years of age is the main user of acute hospital care services. The elderly admission rates represent a marker for the appropriateness of the model of care. The aim of this study was to assess trends and determinants of acute in-patient care among the elderly in Italy between 2001 and 2011. STUDY DESIGN Retrospective analysis of data included in the Italian Hospital Discharge Form Database. METHODS Data from the Italian Hospital Discharge Form Database, Italian Ministry of Health, for the years 2001, 2006 and 2011 were analyzed for individuals over 64 years of age. Inpatient admission (> 1 day) rates across Italian Regions were calculated and compared with demographic variables and out-of-hospital care indicators. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to determine independent relationship among variables. RESULTS From 2001 to 2011 the elderly hospital admission rate decreased from 302.1/1,000 in 2001, to 222.4 in 2011, accounting for an overall decrease of about 28%. The decline in admission rates was less pronounced among individuals > 74 y (26.4%) than among those 65-74 y (32.1%). Hospitalization rates decreased in all Italian administrative regions between 2001 and 2011, even if the hospitalization rates in 2011 were still very different through the different Italian regions, ranging from 180.3/1,000 in Piedmont to 278.1/1,000 in Molise for people > 64 y. The multivariate linear regression was statistically significant in explaining the variations in hospitalization rates among the different Italian administrative regions (F: 3.637; p = 0.024; adjusted R2 = 0.57) and pointed to the role played by the proportion of the elderly (as percentage of the total population, p=0.043) and the rate of variation of acute care beds from 2004 to 2011 (p=0.001). Variables related to community-based care did not show any association with the hospital admissions rate among the elderly. CONCLUSIONS The trend toward decline in elderly inpatient admissions is still present in 2011 as it was in 2001. Determinants of elderly hospital care in Italy are related to the increased number of elderly individuals and the reduction of hospital beds. Out-of-hospital care does not correlate with the variation of in-patient care so the overall care appropriateness could be negatively affected.